Will Oil BREAK the Market? | ShadowTrader Weekend Edition 03.13.26
Автор: ShadowTrader
Загружено: 2026-03-13
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Is the "Oil Scare" actually getting worse? 🛑
In this week’s Weekend Edition, Peter Reznicek breaks down the dangerous negative correlation between Crude Oil and the S&P 500. While most traders are looking at price action, we are going deep into the Futures Term Structure to show you the hidden "ghost in the machine": PERSISTENT BACKWARDATION.
In past oil shocks, this scarcity premium disappeared almost as fast as it arrived. This time? It’s hanging around—and the prompt spread is widening. Peter explains exactly why this "sticky" scarcity is a massive red flag for equities and why the stock market might be headed for a rough wake-up call next week.
IN THIS VIDEO, YOU'LL LEARN:
•The Correlation Killzone: How $CL is dictating the direction of $SPY and $QQQ.
• Term Structure 101: A simple breakdown of Backwardation vs. Contango.
• The Scarcity Premium: Why the prompt spread is widening and what it tells us about physical demand.
• Next Week’s Gameplan: Critical levels to watch in Crude and the S&P 500.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Opening Comments
01:13 - Week in Review
06:18 - What's Really Going On?
09:51 - Lead Story (Oil, Term structure, contango, backwardation)
19:26 - Number One Draft Pick (SNDK)
21:19 - Looking Ahead
22:34 - Closing Thoughts
#CrudeOil #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #FuturesTrading #Backwardation #ShadowTrader #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRecap
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