SPY Is in Short Gamma — And Nearly 2 Million Options Are in Play
Автор: E.L.I - trading strategies
Загружено: 2026-10-25
Просмотров: 299
Описание:
SPY is starting the week in *Short Gamma* — while fear is already elevated and nearly *2 million options contracts* are sitting in this week’s expiration.
And this is not monthly OPEX.
It is not quarterly OPEX.
It is a regular weekly expiration with almost **4× more Open Interest than last week**.
At the same time, the market is heading into a major event window:
• Federal Reserve decision
• PCE inflation data
• Q3 GDP
• Microsoft earnings
• Alphabet earnings
• Amazon earnings
• Intel earnings
In this video, I break down the current SPY options structure, including:
• Gamma Flip around *765–767.50*
• Weekly Expected Move of roughly *±$13.90*
• ATM IV around *16.2%–17.1%*
• Nearly *1.98M contracts* in weekly Open Interest
• Heavy Put positioning around *760 / 755 / 750*
• Max Pain around *765–766*
• Why Short Gamma can make price movement more sensitive once the market starts moving
But one point is critical:
*Fear is not direction.*
Extreme Fear, a high Put/Call ratio and a VIX near 20 do not automatically mean SPY has to fall.
The real question is how price reacts — and whether that reaction changes the structure.
Later in the video, I also look at *TLT* and the unusually large amount of long-dated Call Open Interest sitting above the current price into January 2028.
That does not mean TLT is “going to 120.”
It means the long-term bond market is giving us another structure worth watching.
*Positioning First. Price Second.*
This video is for general market analysis and educational purposes only. It is not a trade recommendation or investment advice. The presenter may trade securities discussed in the video. Options involve risk.
Options data is sourced from third parties and may change. Gamma, Open Interest, Implied Volatility and Expected Move reflect a point-in-time snapshot and accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed.
#spy #optionstrading #stockmarket #gamma #ShortGamma #tlt #marketanalysis
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