Mediterranean Red Line: NATO Cracks Between Allies

Описание: A single maritime corridor on a map has turned a resource dispute into a geopolitical flashpoint between Turkey and Greece, with Libya at the center and NATO unity under stress. In this video, we break down the Turkey–Libya deal, why Crete matters, what Athens fears, what Ankara wants and why Italy and France cannot stay on the sidelines.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:45 When Libya fell into Turkey’s hands
02:58 The Red Line
04:01 Athens’ fears
05:22 Turkey’s ambitions
06:40 One step from disaster
08:50 Other powers get involved
10:00 Italy in the middle
13:35 Rome vs Paris: the quarrels
15:03 Future scenarios

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SOURCES

Limes (quotes + strategic framing)

Daniele Santoro, “Turkey aims to dominate the Mare Nostrum” — published in Limes, issue n. 8/2022 (“Il mare italiano e la guerra”). (Limesonline / print issue)

Dario Fabbri, “Italy: a peninsula without a sea” — published in Limes, issue n. 10/2020 (“L’Italia è il mare”). (Limesonline / print issue)

NATO, Doorstep statement (26 August 2020) — official NATO communication on the Greece–Turkey de-escalation context.

United Nations (DOALOS / UN Oceans) — PDF text of the Turkey–Libya Memorandum of Understanding on maritime delimitation (27 November 2019).

UN Treaty Collection (UNTC) — registration/record entry for the same MoU (Istanbul, 27/11/2019).

International Crisis Group, report on Turkey–Greece maritime brinkmanship (covers the 2020 escalation dynamics and incident risk around survey operations).

UNCLOS (UN Convention on the Law of the Sea) — Part V (EEZ), incl. Article 57 (200 nautical miles).

UNCLOS — Part VIII (Regime of Islands), incl. Article 121(3) (“rocks” and limitations).

Italy — Law 14 June 2021, n. 91 — legal basis establishing the Italian EEZ framework.

Italy — Presidential Decree (DPR) 26 September 2025, n. 193 — implementing regulation (as published in the Official Gazette).

Geopolitica.info, Geopolitical Brief #9: “The gas war in the Eastern Mediterranean” (30 October 2020, PDF).