SpaceX IPO Lockup Expiration — What Happens to SPCX Stock After 90 Days
Автор: Wealth with James
Загружено: 2026-06-16
Просмотров: 43
Описание:
SpaceX went public. The headlines are celebrating. The retail rush is in full swing. And almost nobody is talking about what happens on Day 91.
The lockup period that insiders and early investors must honor is 90 days. When it expires, up to 30% of shares currently locked become eligible for sale and the dynamics that pushed the stock higher in the first two weeks reverse. This is not speculation. This is the structure of every major IPO and the data on lockup expirations is clear.
In this video, we break down exactly what the prospectus reveals that most coverage has ignored:
= The full lockup calendar: what unlocks when, and why the first earnings report is the trigger
= The float math: less than 5% of shares trade at open, and what happens when supply expands 6x
= The index inclusion effect: why passive buying distorts price in the first 15 days — and when it stops
=The 2000 Cisco IPO comparison: a tech darling, a lockup expiration, and what it teaches us about 2026
= The one scenario where buying the lockup dip actually makes sense
This is not an argument against SpaceX. It is not a prediction that the stock will crash. It is the structural reality of lockup expirations that every IPO investor should understand — and almost none do.
The question worth sitting with tonight: if the smart money has been waiting for this IPO for years, what are they planning to do 90 days after it goes public?
⏱ CHAPTERS
0:00 — The number nobody's talking about: Day 91
1:15 — Less than 5% float: the supply story
3:30 — The full lockup calendar mapped out
6:00 — Index inclusion: forced buying and when it stops
8:30 — Cisco 2000: the lockup expiration that teaches us everything
11:30 — The $20 billion bridge loan the public is paying off
13:00 — One scenario where buying the dip makes sense
15:00 — The question
⚠️ This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. IPO investing involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. All figures and timelines referenced are based on publicly available information and may change. Consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.
#spacexipo #spacex #stockmarket #stockwealth #buildwealth #personalfinance #investing #financialfreedom
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