How AI is Shaping New INVESTMENT PARTNERSHIPS Today? - Ray Dalio
Автор: Investing Time Daily
Загружено: 2025-12-09
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Ray Dalio reveals why Abu Dhabi is becoming the "Silicon Valley of Investment Management" and warns about the biggest risk global investors are ignoring. In this exclusive Bloomberg interview from Abu Dhabi Finance Week, the Bridgewater Associates founder shares his insights on AI partnerships, the debt crisis threatening global markets, and why gold should be 5-15% of every portfolio.
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🎥 Bloomberg Television - Abu Dhabi Finance Week
🔴 KEY INSIGHTS FROM RAY DALIO:
Abu Dhabi: The New Silicon Valley
"If you want to be in almost the Silicon Valley of investment management, there's an excitement to being here, and it's particularly enhanced by the combination with AI."
After 32 years of visiting the UAE, Dalio sees Abu Dhabi transforming from an oil capital into the global hub for asset management and artificial intelligence. The combination of massive sovereign wealth, world-class expertise, and AI commitment is creating a "happening environment" rivaling traditional tech hubs.
The Five Forces Shaping Markets
Dalio breaks down the five major factors driving global markets:
Debt & Money Cycle - Unsustainable debt levels across US, UK, France, China
Political Cycle - Wealth gaps creating irreconcilable left/right divide
Geopolitical Cycle - Rising powers challenging existing world order
Acts of Nature - Droughts, floods, pandemics (have killed more than wars)
Technological Innovation - AI as the most transformative force today
The Debt Crisis Investors Are Ignoring
"I think it is the debt service. Particularly the government position and the supply demand of that debt combined with the politics."
Dalio warns that governments can't increase spending, can't increase debt, yet face rising military needs and can't cut taxes. This creates political turnover (UK: 4 prime ministers in 5 years) and economic instability.
🚨 CRITICAL WARNINGS:
The Wealth Bubble Risk:
"Wealth is very different from money. In order to spend money, you have to sell wealth to get money. And when there's a lot of wealth that needs to be sold... that creates a bubble."
When governments need to tax accumulated wealth or interest rates force asset sales, it creates sudden market pressure that most investors aren't prepared for.
Post-2026 Election Concerns:
"It's likely that the Democrats will take the House. Significant possibility. If that happens, the political conflict will continue to be more difficult and that's creating this risky environment."
Combined with maturing debts rolling over at higher interest rates, Dalio sees risk increasing through 2026 and beyond.
The China-US Structural Shift:
"The model where China would export to the United States and earn money and then invest in bonds is no longer a viable path because the Chinese worry that they won't get paid on their bonds like the Russians don't get paid on the bonds."
This fundamental change in capital and trade flows creates new uncertainty in global markets.
💰 GOLD ALLOCATION STRATEGY:
5-15% Portfolio Allocation Recommended
"Gold is a type of money. It's not something to speculate in, just as you would hold cash, but it's other types of fiat money."
Dalio explains that when governments print money to service debt (lowering fiat value), gold acts as a diversifier that raises returns when other portfolio components perform badly.
"A normal allocation would be between five and 15% if you just went into a portfolio optimizer."
🤖 AI INVESTMENT PARTNERSHIPS:
Active AI Collaboration Despite G42 Setback
Bloomberg previously reported that Dalio's family office venture with Abu Dhabi's G42 didn't pan out. However, Dalio clarifies he remains very active in AI partnerships focused on investment applications.
"We are in this environment where there's a networking, how different people have different expertise. And I think as we're dealing with how to be the best investor, you have to have the ability through AI to do that."
He describes these as "thought partnerships" where experts teach each other and collaborate on using AI to improve investment decision-making.
This interview provides crucial context for understanding global investment dynamics, the Middle East's rising role in technology, and portfolio strategies for navigating increasing economic and political uncertainty.
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