LIVE🔴 IND 🇮🇳 vs NZ 🇳🇿 3rd ODI - Match Preview New Zealand tour of India 2025
Автор: Sports Prediction Expert - UK
Загружено: 2026-01-15
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India vs New Zealand 3rd ODI Preview | IND vs NZ Decider at Indore | Series Locked 1-1 | Prediction & H2H 🇮🇳🇳🇿
The electrifying 3rd ODI decider between India and New Zealand takes place at Holkar Cricket Stadium, Indore on January 18, 2026, with the three-match series deadlocked at 1-1. India clinched the Vadodara opener by 6 wickets chasing 301, but New Zealand scripted history in Rajkot with a 7-wicket triumph chasing 285 - their highest successful ODI chase on Indian soil - led by Daryl Mitchell's unbeaten 98*. This high-pressure finale on Indore's batting paradise (average 1st innings 300+) promises fireworks under dew conditions favoring chases.
Series So Far: Edge-of-Seat Drama
1st ODI (Vadodara): India chased 301 comfortably behind Shubman Gill and Virat Kohli, with Kuldeep Yadav's 3-fer dismantling NZ middle order.
2nd ODI (Rajkot): KL Rahul's masterful 104* (8th ODI ton) and 171-run stand with Hardik Pandya (68*) set 284/7, but Daryl Mitchell (98*), Devon Conway (67), and Glenn Phillips (22*) stunned India in a clinical chase exposing spin frailties.
Momentum Swing: NZ's upset victory transforms series rout into genuine contest.
Head-to-Head Battle Stats
India dominate New Zealand 61-36 overall in ODIs, with 34-12 home record. Recent form shows NZ's giant-killing potential: 7 straight bilateral ODI wins pre-series (2023 WC semis memory fresh).
Chase Stats: NZ 45% success chasing in India historically, but Rajkot 285 boosts confidence exponentially. India avg 280+ batting first vs Kiwis.
Holkar Stadium Pitch & Weather Report
Batting Paradise: Flat decks, true bounce, short boundaries yield 300+ 1st innings averages (highest 418/5 vs WI). Spinners get grip middle overs; pacers swing early.
Chase Heaven: 71% teams batting second win due to dew post-sunset; toss likely favors bowling first.
Conditions: Clear skies, 24°C day/night match (1:30 PM IST start); dew builds significantly after 7 PM aiding strokeplay.
India Predicted XI & Tactical Focus
Likely XI: Rohit Sharma (c), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, KL Rahul (wk), Shreyas Iyer, Hardik Pandya, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh, Shardul Thakur/Avesh Khan.
Key Changes: Shardul Thakur in for Washington Sundar (batting depth post-Rajkot bowling collapse); Kuldeep must redeem 1/62 economy.
Gameplan: Powerplay 70+ aggression, middle-over spin choke (Axar-Kuldeep econ -5 target), Pandya death yorkers vs Mitchell sweeps.
New Zealand Predicted XI & Winning Template
Likely XI: Devon Conway, Rachin Ravindra, Kane Williamson (c), Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, James Neesham, Mitchell Santner, Michael Bracewell, Trent Boult, Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy.
Strengths: Mitchell's chase mastery (632 runs @68 avg vs Ind), Conway-Ravindra Powerplay solidity, Phillips finishing fireworks.
Vulnerability: Spin struggles if Kuldeep regains 2023 WC semi menace; batting first must post 320+ on Indore flats.
Must-Watch Player Battles
Rohit Sharma vs Trent Boult: Powerplay swing test (Boult 2/52 Rajkot threat).
Daryl Mitchell vs Kuldeep Yadav: Sweep specialist vs googly wizard decider.
Virat Kohli vs Mitchell Santner: Middle-over containment duel.
Hardik Pandya vs Glenn Phillips: All-rounder death-over showdown.
Dream11 Fantasy Picks & Captaincy
Captain Choice: Daryl Mitchell (chase multiplier, 160+ pts potential).
Vice-Captain: KL Rahul (anchor consistency, 140+ pts).
Must-Picks: Rohit Sharma, Kuldeep Yadav, Devon Conway, Trent Boult.
** differentials**: Axar Patel (economy), Glenn Phillips (finisher).
Toss Prediction & Match Winner
Toss Call: 60% India wins and bowls first (dew protection).
Score Projections: Batting first: 320/6; Chasing: 325/4 realistic.
Victory Edge: India 60% favorites leveraging home spin revival, batting depth, desperation factor. NZ needs flawless Powerplay + Mitchell ton. Predicted Result: India wins by 4 wickets (DLS possible).
Tactical Chess Match & Series Stakes
India Strategy: Explosive PP (Rohit-Gill 70+), spin stranglehold overs 11-40, Pandya cutters vs sweepers.
NZ Counter: Conway-Ravindra 100+ opening stand, Mitchell acceleration targeting field gaps.
Winner Gets: Series glory + psychological edge into T20I leg (Nagpur Jan 21). Loser faces home pressure questions.
INDORE DECIDER HYPE: Holkar roars for Indian redemption! 🏟️🇮🇳🇳🇿
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