Risk-Off Rotation: Weak Breadth, Rising Yields & Energy Leadership | CHART THIS
Автор: Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT
Загружено: 2026-03-12
Просмотров: 820
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Markets delivered an unmistakable risk-off session as the S&P 500 opened weak and never recovered. In today’s episode of CHART THIS, Dave Keller breaks down a market showing clear signs of distribution, deteriorating breadth, and rising volatility.
After losing the 6800 level, the S&P closed near 6670, bringing the 6550 “line in the sand” into focus. The VIX surged toward 27, Treasury yields pushed above 4.25%, and the dollar strengthened — all while crude oil continued its powerful breakout. The result: energy and utilities outperformed while growth and mega-cap tech struggled.
Dave walks through sector performance, breadth deterioration across large/mid/small caps, and why only about one-third of S&P stocks remain above their 50-day moving average. He also highlights individual charts including Dollar General breaking support, GE Healthcare testing a key level, Mosaic’s bullish rotation, AT&T’s divergence setup, and continued leadership in energy names like Valero.
With sentiment turning more bearish, rates rising, and volatility expanding, this episode focuses on risk management, failed support levels, and how to navigate markets when conditions shift from constructive to fragile.
⏱️ Chapters
00:00 Winter storm intro and risk-off setup
02:00 Weak open gets weaker — no afternoon bounce
04:30 S&P 500 breaks 6800, 6550 now in focus
07:00 VIX spikes to 27 and what that implies
09:30 Treasury yields above 4.25% and inflation expectations
12:00 Sector rotation: energy and utilities lead
15:00 Breadth breakdown across market caps
18:30 Only one-third of stocks above 50-day
21:00 Sentiment shifts: AAII and NAAIM exposure
24:00 Heat map review — what actually worked
27:30 Dollar General and GE Healthcare support tests
31:00 Mosaic breakout and fertilizer theme
34:00 GE Aerospace pullback and bearish divergences
37:00 Energy leadership and final risk management thoughts
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The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice. Some of the links in this description and in the video may be affiliate links, which means you pay nothing more and it helps me to make Market Misbehavior awesome! As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. For full disclaimer, please see our website: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/dis....
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