Stocks After Every Midterm Do What?

Описание: Stocks after midterms: the S&P 500 has been higher one year after all 19 midterm elections since 1950.

The average gain from Election Day was about 15%, and the weakest year (1986 to 1987) still finished up about 1%.

Part of the reason is that the vote answers the question of who writes the rules on taxes and spending. History also tends to favor a split Washington: since 1980, the S&P 500 averaged about 15% in the year after elections that left no one party in charge, against about 11.5% after one-party results (CNBC, Nov 2026). Other studies find a smaller gap, so treat it as a tendency.

An election doesn't end a war, set interest rates or grow company earnings. Those still drive stocks. And past returns aren't a forecast.

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Disclosure: I may hold positions in companies mentioned.

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⚠️ Not financial advice. I may hold positions in some names. This content is for educational and informational purposes only. These are research starting points, not buy recommendations. Always do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. I am not a registered financial advisor.