MARK MY WORDS! Silver's About to Be the BIGGEST BREAKOUT STORY In History - Francis Hunt

Описание: MARK MY WORDS! Silver's About to Be the BIGGEST BREAKOUT STORY In History - Francis Hunt

Silver’s next phase is being framed not as a slow grind, but as a sequence of explosive re-pricings driven by monetary distortion and ratio compression. Interim targets matter, but the bigger story is where silver ultimately rebalances relative to gold as currency debasement accelerates.
Francis Hunt, a macro trader known for ratio-based and momentum analysis, outlines a clear roadmap. An initial run toward the low-90s is seen as a stepping stone, with a much larger structural target near the mid-300s acting as a whole measured move rather than a final high. Beyond that, the focus shifts to the gold-silver ratio. With current mining ratios already near 7 ounces of silver per ounce of gold, Hunt argues that a move toward single-digit ratios is not extreme but mathematically plausible in a monetary reset. In that scenario, silver prices could overshoot dramatically, even reaching four digits before balance is restored. His strategy is simple: reduce silver exposure only once the gold-silver ratio falls below 10.
Recent margin hikes have cooled short-term speculation, but they haven’t changed the larger structure of the silver market. Initial and maintenance margins on COMEX silver futures have risen sharply in a very short period, an apparent attempt to slow retail momentum and stabilize thin trading conditions. While this reduces near-term volatility, it does nothing to resolve the underlying imbalance between physical demand and available supply.
What matters more is price discovery outside the Western paper market. Adjusted Shanghai silver prices continue to trade at a premium to U.S. prices, reflecting strong Eastern demand and real delivery pressure. That premium, even after accounting for currency conversion, transport, and frictional costs, suggests a tighter physical market than futures alone imply. Industrial buyers in Asia are increasingly sourcing directly from mines, bypassing exchanges entirely, which further restricts visible supply. Margin pressure may trigger pullbacks, but as long as physical premiums persist, the broader trend remains intact.

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CREDIT: Commodity Culture
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