Peak Oil Starts In 2026
Автор: Energy Rogue, LLC
Загружено: 2025-11-26
Просмотров: 4434
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Peak Oil Starts In 2026
The market sees an ocean of oil. Inventories are decent, OPEC's holding back barrels, and prices seem stable. But that's the data illusion.
What most traders are missing: we're not running out of oil. We're running out of cheap oil. The kind that makes economic sense to produce at $70-$80 a barrel. That era is over.
In this video, we break down the brutal math:
Non-OPEC breakevens have doubled over the last decade
US shale needs 650,000+ barrels per day of new production just to stay flat
OPEC's "spare capacity" is a mirage—sustainable capacity is far lower and more expensive
Global decline rates are relentless, and current prices can't fight them off
By 2026, the cumulative effect of years of underinvestment hits a tipping point. The market will have no choice but to send a price signal strong enough to trigger investment in expensive, complex projects. That signal is likely around $120 Brent.
Today's oversupply is masking an impending structural deficit.
What to watch:
Monthly battle between decline rates and new production brought online
Chinese & Indian demand trends
OPEC spare capacity utilization
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