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The Near-Perfect Recession Indicator

Автор: Fisher Investments UK

Загружено: 2025-11-21

Просмотров: 4932

Описание: Ken Fisher, founder, Executive Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Fisher Investments, reviews what he believes to be a near-perfect indicator investors can use to determine if a recession is near. While the stock market has sometimes falsely predicted recessions, Ken says a true business-cycle recession has never occurred without the stock market falling for several months beforehand.

According to Ken, if the stock market hasn't peaked and entered a decline lasting at least a few months, a recession likely hasn't started. Conversely, Ken notes the stock market also can indicate when better times are ahead, as the market typically bottoms and begins to rise months before a recession is over.

For more of Fisher Investments thoughts on the markets, visit us at https://www.fisherinvestments.com/en-gb.

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This commentary constitutes the general views of Fisher Investments UK and Fisher Investments, and should not be regarded as personalised investment or tax advice or as a representation of their performance or that of their clients. No assurances are made that they will continue to hold these views, which may change at any time based on new information, analysis or reconsideration. In addition, no assurances are made regarding the accuracy of any forecast made herein. Not all past forecasts have been, nor future forecasts may be, as accurate as any contained herein. Fisher Investments Europe Limited, trading as Fisher Investments UK, is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA Number 191609) and is registered in England (Company Number 3850593). Fisher Investments Europe Limited Headquarters: Level 18, One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London, E14 5AX Fisher Investments Europe Limited’s parent company, Fisher Asset Management, LLC, trading under the name Fisher Investments, is established in the USA and regulated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Investment management services are provided by Fisher Investments. Investing in financial markets involves the risk of loss and there is no guarantee that all or any capital invested will be repaid. Past performance neither guarantees nor reliably indicates future performance. The value of investments and the income from them will fluctuate with world financial markets and international currency exchange rates.

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