Bitcoin Is Going to $250,000. Here’s Why!
Автор: MoneywithSwAbi
Загружено: 2026-10-17
Просмотров: 19857
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Bitcoin Is Going to $250,000. Here’s Why.
Bitcoin to $250,000? Here’s my full case. Bitcoin has hit a new all-time high roughly every four years (2013, 2017, 2021, 2025), and the time from each cycle bottom to the next peak has been surprisingly consistent for over a decade. If that pattern repeats one more time, I think Bitcoin goes to $250,000.
I built my wealth with boring index funds, and Bitcoin is only a small part of my portfolio. In this video I break down the Bitcoin halving, the millions of lost Bitcoin, BlackRock and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETFs, Michael Saylor’s Strategy, and the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Then I show the simple math that gets me to $250K, even if Bitcoin’s returns keep shrinking every cycle.
❓ What This Video Covers:
✅ What is Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and why has it repeated since 2013?
✅ How Bob Loukas’ cycle chart shows roughly three years up, one year down
✅ What the Bitcoin halving is: the mining reward going from 50 → 25 → 12.5 → 6.25 → 3.125 BTC
✅ Why the 21 million cap isn’t the real number, with an estimated 4.96 million BTC lost or locked
✅ Why BlackRock (roughly $15 trillion in assets) launching a Bitcoin ETF matters
✅ How Bitcoin ETFs solved the custody problem (no private keys to protect)
✅ Michael Saylor’s Strategy owning 800,000+ Bitcoin, roughly 4% of all BTC that will ever exist
✅ What the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve means, and why Russia’s crypto infrastructure move matters
✅ Why returns are compressing: 100X → 20X → 8X, and why $250K only needs about 4X
✅ Peter Brandt’s Bitcoin “banana” chart explained
✅ Bitcoin at $250K (about $5T) vs all the gold in the world (about $30T)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. It reflects my personal opinion. Bitcoin is highly volatile and can fall 50% or more, past cycles don’t guarantee future results, and you should do your own research or talk to a licensed advisor before investing.
#Bitcoin #BitcoinPrediction #BTC #BitcoinHalving #Crypto #BitcoinETF #BitcoinCycle #Investing #PersonalFinance #MoneyWithSwabi
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WHO AM I?
Hello I’m Sushant, I am financially independent and retired at the age of 41 with just my salary and smart investing.
I worked in corporate US for 17 years. I make practical, rational content on investing, personal finance, and much more with a data-backed approach.
My goal is to help you with financial literacy and creating wealth.
DISCLAIMERS & DISCLOSURES
This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. MoneywithSwabi does not provide investment or Tax advice. The information is being presented without consideration of the investment objectives, risk tolerance, or financial circumstances of any specific investor and might not be suitable for all investors. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Moneywithswabi is owned by Thakre, LLC.
Disclosure: Some links in this description are affiliate links, which means I may earn a commission if you use them, at no additional cost to you. I only share tools I personally use and trust.
Q: Can Bitcoin realistically reach $250,000?
A: My case rests on Bitcoin’s four-year cycle and shrinking returns. From each cycle bottom, Bitcoin went up about 100X (2015 to 2017), about 20X (2018 to 2021) and about 8X (2022 to 2025). If Bitcoin bottomed around $61,000 in 2026, $250,000 needs only about a 4X, which assumes returns keep shrinking rather than speeding up. At $250K, Bitcoin’s market cap would be about $5 trillion, roughly one-sixth of the estimated $30 trillion of above-ground gold. This is my personal opinion, not financial advice, and Bitcoin can still fall 50% or the cycle can break.
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