WHY SILVER COULD CRASH: The $60 Technical Target No One Talks About

Описание: 🚨 UNPOPULAR OPINION: I'm going to show you something most silver bulls DON'T want to see. A chart pattern that suggests this correction isn't over. The crash from $121 to $77 might not be the bottom. It might be the setup for something worse.

My technical analysis is pointing to $60. Maybe $65. Before any sustained rally can begin.

I know this contradicts the bullish narrative I cover (COMEX crisis, Shanghai premium, structural deficit). But intellectual honesty requires looking at BOTH sides. Markets don't move in straight lines. And right now, the charts are screaming warning signals.

In this video, I break down the TECHNICAL BEAR CASE:

📌 The Elliott Wave Structure
Wave 1-3 complete ($12 to $121)
Wave 4 correction targets: 38.2% to 61.8%
61.8% retracement = $59.82 target
Wave 4s are complex and time-consuming
Why $77 might only be the "A" wave of correction

📌 The Head and Shoulders Formation
Left shoulder ($108), Head ($121), Right shoulder forming?
Neckline at $77
Measured move target if neckline breaks: $33 (extreme)
Realistic target: $60-65 zone
Why breaking $77 confirms the pattern

📌 The Fibonacci Confluence Zone
61.8% of recent rally = $59.82
50% of 2020-2026 bull market = $66.50
Previous resistance turned support = $65.00
Multiple levels converging at $60-66
Magnetic pull of confluence zones

📌 The Volume Analysis Warning
Rally from $77 occurring on DECLINING volume
Buyers not showing up with conviction
Bearish divergence (price up, volume down)
Characteristics of relief rally, not new bull leg

📌 The RSI Divergence Signal
Lower highs on RSI while price made higher highs
Weekly RSI not yet oversold (room to fall)
Major bottoms typically see RSI 30
Momentum still favoring bears

📌 The Moving Average Breakdown
Price below 50-day and 100-day
200-day at $72 is vulnerable
Closing below 200-day = technical bear market
Algorithms programmed to sell breakdown

📌 The Dollar Index Factor
DXY breaking above 97 resistance
Target 100
Strong dollar = Headwind for silver
Correlation analysis supports lower prices

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This video is for educational purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Technical analysis is probability, not certainty. Fundamentals can override technicals. I hold physical silver and long-term bullish views despite short-term bearish charts. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional.

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💬 DROP A COMMENT: Do you think we see $60 or is the bottom in at $77?

👍 LIKE this video if you appreciate honest analysis regardless of bias!

📊 SOURCES & VERIFICATION:
TradingView Charts (Silver Futures)
Elliott Wave Principles
Fibonacci Retracement Tools
Volume Profile Analysis
RSI & Moving Average Indicators
Dollar Index (DXY) Charts


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