The Boots On The Ground Scenario In Iran | The Long Game

Описание: After the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader, what comes next? Former Israeli Defense Intelligence officer Danny Citrinowicz joins Jake Sullivan and Jon Finer to unpack where the war with Iran stands following the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. They assess what the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei means for Iran’s strategy, whether the regime is more likely to harden or recalibrate, and why recent events could push Tehran “beyond the Rubicon.”

They examine the state of Iran’s nuclear program — including the stockpile of highly enriched uranium believed to be stored in tunnels under Isfahan — and debate whether U.S. and Israeli objectives remain aligned as the conflict evolves.

In the final segment, Jake and Jon run a Red Team/Blue Team exercise on one of the most consequential unresolved questions of the war: Should the United States consider sending forces to secure or neutralize Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile? What would success look like — and what risks could follow?

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Chapters:
0:00 — After Khamenei: Setting the Stakes
2:16 — Sitrep from Israel: Tactical Success, Strategic Doubt w/Danny Citrinowicz
5:13 — Has the War Made Iran More Likely to Go Nuclear?
11:15 — Israel’s Calculus vs. Washington’s Endgame
17:47 — Can This War Actually End?
28:07 — Escalation Risks: Proxies, Infrastructure, and the Gulf
39:00 — Asymmetric Retaliation & Sleeper Cells
50:06 — Red Team/Blue Team: Should the U.S. Go Into Isfahan?