Is The Market Topped Out? Or Is It Poised To Bounce From Here? | Lance Roberts

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The market has been range-bound for months.

Has it topped out and about to roll over, as we saw at the start of 2022?

Or, is it consolidating and poised for a breakout higher soon?

Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the likely rotation of capital back into Growth from Value, the sell-off in Bitcoin and its repercussions, the growing trouble in private credit, and Lance's firm's latest trades.

For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.

#marketcorrection #growthstocks #bitcoin

0:00 Rangebound Markets: Consolidation vs Topping?
1:29 Software Trade Degradation and Agentic AI Concerns
2:52 Mega Cap Earnings Reports (Google, Amazon)
4:12 Sell-Off Driven by Margin Liquidation
5:46 Bitcoin Vortex and Michael Burry's Thesis
8:10 Potential Buying Opportunity in Mega Caps
8:42 Investing in AI Future and Company Scale
9:42 Monopoly Laws and Market Dominance Concerns
12:52 Future World with Few Dominant Brands
13:11 Leverage Risks and Margin Call Cycles
15:27 Trapped Longs in Assets like Bitcoin and Metals
18:47 Bitcoin Contagion Risks to Broader Markets
20:39 MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Strategy Critique
23:03 Risks of Highly Correlated Assets
25:53 Rotation from Value to Growth Stocks
26:43 Active vs Passive Investment Strategies
27:32 Market Fragility from Margin Debt and Valuations
28:43 Algorithmic Trading and Increased Volatility
30:50 5-Year Returns Across Asset Classes
32:21 Projected Lower Returns in the Next Decade
35:50 Planning for Retirement in a Lost Decade
37:59 S&P 500 Chart Analysis and Key Levels
47:53 Market Cycles Driving 2026 Expectations
49:33 Risks to the Reflation Narrative
51:48 Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations
53:03 Bull/Bear Case on Reflation Without Inflation
54:40 Disinflation Signals from Truflation Data
59:15 Foreign Capital Flows and Passive Bid Risks
1:09:22 Concerns in Credit Markets and Private Credit
1:13:45 Monitoring Credit Spreads for Trouble
1:17:30 Why Credit Spreads Are at Historic Lows
1:21:11 Trades: Factor Rotation Model Flip to Growth
1:23:50 Rant: Getting Comfortable with Discomfort
1:35:02 Balancing Perseverance vs Knowing When to Quit
1:36:25 Debate: Flying Economy vs Premium for Comfort
1:42:25 Enjoying the Journey and Valuing Time
1:48:02 Investing in Health and Preventive Care
1:49:21 Closing and Spring Conference Promo
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