Thankful for Data: AI Momentum, Rate Expectations, and What’s Driving Markets Now

Описание: 👉 Need help making sense of today’s markets? https://hubs.li/Q03VZmBd0

In this episode, the team walks through a timely Thanksgiving-week market update covering U.S. equities, Federal Reserve expectations, cryptocurrency volatility, and international market performance. The conversation begins with the sharp move higher in equities—powered largely by the AI theme and companies such as Alphabet. They discuss the tension between AI-driven enthusiasm and the macro tug-of-war created by evolving interest-rate expectations. The hosts emphasize how today’s tech giants appear to be different from the unproven companies of the early-2000s tech bubble.

They then shift to Federal Reserve dynamics, highlighting the divide among policymakers regarding the pace of future rate cuts. Perspectives from Fed officials and Vanguard’s fixed-income team point to concerns about the market potentially overestimating the number of cuts ahead. The group also examines Bitcoin’s significant ETF outflows, momentum-driven selling, and the lack of earnings anchors in crypto markets. The episode closes with a look at international equities, which appear to have benefited from U.S. government shutdown and shifting sentiment toward more value-oriented sectors abroad.

“It sure feels like the wheels would have to be falling off the economy for the Fed to cut four times.” – Dan Seder

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Time Stamps:
00:00 - Introduction
01:00 - Overview of Market Topics
02:05 - U.S. Equity Market Discussion
03:37 - Artificial Intelligence & Tech Leadership
05:20 - Federal Reserve & Rate Cut Expectations
09:25 - Jobs Data and Labor Market Update
11:50 - Bitcoin, Crypto, and ETF Outflows
15:06 - International Markets Performance
18:00 - Episode Recap & Closing