Why I’m Watching the 200 Weekly EMA plus Bitcoin, Lithium, and XJO Record Highs

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It is Sunday, the 1st of March, 2026, and the first day of Autumn. In today’s video, we are taking a step back from the daily noise to look at the 10-year weekly charts.

We analyze the XJO’s "slow grind" to record highs, the stark outperformance of the NASDAQ, and the massive volatility currently hitting the IT and Mining sectors. I also dive into why the 200EMA is my favorite "buy signal" for assets like Bitcoin and high-quality ASX 20 companies.

Stick around as I discuss:

The evolution of the mining cycle since 2016.

Why the "Equal Weighted" index tells a different story.

The "skirmish" in the Middle East and its likely impact on oil.

Lithium’s sudden 24% surge and my current trades (PLS, LKE, etc.)

0:00 Intro
1:07 XJO Analysis: The 10-Year Slow Grind & Dividend Suppression
2:51 Using the 200EMA as a Buy Signal (XJO)
4:35 Is the ASX 200 Stretched? Standard Deviation Thoughts
5:30 Equal Weighted vs. Small Caps (XSO) & Emerging Companies (XEC)
7:28 ASX 20 (XTL) & The Efficiency of Big Banks
10:35 US Markets: Why the NASDAQ Outperforms the ASX 6-to-1
12:44 Australian Tech & IT Sector: Are we at a 50% Bottom?
15:24 The Mining Cycle: BHP’s Copper Pivot & XMM Volatility
17:00 Energy & Middle East "Skirmishes": Impact on Oil Prices
18:18 Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples: Identifying Distress
20:16 International Indices: Nikkei’s Run & The Footsie’s Breather
24:11 New Zealand (NZX50): 5 Years of Sideways Movement
29:32 Gold & Silver: Historic Bull Runs vs. Recent Volatility
33:21 Why I Prefer the Copper Chart Over Silver
35:10 Uranium Weakness & The Iron Ore Volatility Squeeze
37:05 Lithium Carbonate Explodes: 24% Gains in a Week
39:15 Coal, Tin, & Platinum Breakouts
40:58 Cocoa Prices: Why Your Chocolate Isn't Getting Cheaper
41:33 Crypto: Is Bitcoin Screaming "Buy" at the 200EMA?
42:58 Bond Markets: The End of a 40-Year Bull Run
45:02 Currency: The Aussie Dollar’s Best Look Since 2020
45:44 Members Only Preview & New House Update



Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

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