What could happen if the US strikes Iran? Here are seven scenarios

Описание: The US may target specific Iranian military sites, like IRGC bases, missile facilities, or nuclear sites. The goal would be to weaken the government while keeping civilian casualties low. This might slow Iran’s regional threats without sparking full-scale retaliation. But history shows that regime change or political reform is rarely simple.

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2) Regime Survives but Softens Policies (Less Likely)

Even after strikes, the Iranian regime might stay in power. However, it could be pressured to reduce support for regional armed groups or slow down nuclear and missile programs. Given Iran’s long history of resisting foreign pressure, this scenario is less probable.

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3) Regime Collapses, Military Takes Control

US strikes could trigger internal chaos. The regime might fall, but powerful military factions like the IRGC could take over. This could lead to civil unrest and uncertainty inside Iran.

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4) Retaliation Against the US and Its Allies

Iran could strike back with missiles or drones, targeting US forces and regional allies. Neighboring countries like Qatar or the UAE could face serious security threats.

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5) Mining the Persian Gulf

Iran may place naval mines in the Persian Gulf, disrupting global trade and oil exports. Since 20–30% of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, any blockage could send oil prices soaring.





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