PREDICTION: Iran Will Announce They Have NUCLEAR WEAPONS in 2 months /Larry Johnson
Автор: Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
Загружено: 2026-03-13
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1. No Viable U.S. Ground Invasion
They predict that a U.S. ground invasion is effectively impossible because:
Iran can mobilize about 1 million personnel including the regular army, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and the Basij militia.
The United States currently has about 470,000 Army troops and ~110,000 Marines, far short of the 3–4 million troops they believe would be required to occupy Iran.
There is no safe staging area for assembling such a force because Iranian missiles and drones could strike bases across the region.
Prediction: The U.S. will likely avoid a full invasion and rely on air power, missiles, and limited operations instead.
2. Limited Marine Deployment Could Be a Risky Move
The discussion references reports of additional Marines moving to the region.
They speculate this could mean:
Attempting to seize strategic infrastructure such as Kharg Island (a major Iranian oil export hub).
Landing forces near the eastern side of the Strait of Hormuz to disrupt Iranian missile or drone operations.
Prediction:
Any such operation would be extremely vulnerable because:
Kharg Island is within artillery range of mainland Iran.
Marine units could face missile, drone, and rocket attacks immediately after landing.
Naval forces entering the Strait could be ambushed or blocked.
They characterize such an operation as potentially unsustainable or even suicidal.
3. Iran Accelerates a Nuclear Weapon
One of the strongest predictions is that Iran will decide to build nuclear weapons quickly.
Their reasoning:
Without nuclear weapons, Iran remains vulnerable to attacks by Israel.
With nuclear weapons, Iran gains deterrence leverage.
They predict Iran could announce possession of nuclear weapons within about two months if the war escalates.
This would dramatically shift the strategic balance.
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