Where the World Has Already Stopped Growing: Mapping the Population Peak (UN Data)

Описание: One in four people now live in a country whose population has already peaked. Using the UN's World Population Prospects 2024, we map where population has already peaked (China, Japan, Germany, Russia), where it peaks by 2054 (Brazil, Iran, Turkiye, Viet Nam), where it keeps growing (India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the U.S.), why fertility is falling, and how momentum and ageing shape the next 50 years.

Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:35 The world curve
1:12 Already past the peak
1:58 Why: fewer births
2:58 Peaking soon
3:28 Still growing
4:10 Momentum and an older world
5:18 Recap

Sources:
United Nations, DESA Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024: Summary of Results
UN DESA (2024). World Population Prospects 2024: Key Messages (8.2B in 2024; peak about 10.3B in the mid-2080s; 63 countries and areas = 28% of 2024 population; 48 = 10%; fertility 2.3 vs 3.3 in 1990; momentum = 79% of growth to 2054)
UN DESA press release, 'UN projects world population to peak within this century' (11 July 2024)
Map boundaries: Natural Earth (public domain), 1:110m. Share for the growing group (about 62%) is our calculation (100% - 28% - 10%)

Links:
https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/...
https://population.un.org/WPP/Publica...
https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelop...

Educational only. Figures from UN DESA World Population Prospects 2024; projections are uncertain. Highlighted countries are examples named by the UN, not complete lists. Map: Natural Earth.