AUDUSD price action and top down analysis for the week /day traders.

Описание: AUDUSD current price at exchange rate in fx window is 0.70860 .
the AUDUSD long for today looks pretty cool after the break and retest of the ascending trendline on daily timeframe,
My key supplyroof is 0.72493,if we comeback for another retest at 0.70483 go long on AUDUSD with 15min /3min confirmation along side the DXY(dollar index price action.)
monthly perspective chart overview from our older chart posted.
Since 2011 double top break and the retest of the neckline AUDUSD selloff has not recovered ,keeping the long term bias as bearish, the script is about to change but it faces a strong monthly litmus test at supply roof 0.71274 break and close go long and target
key supply roof @ 0.80241
key supply 0.94220. .
on daily time frame we have a clear breakout of trend ,this is a signal to go long on caution.
the monthly chart comes with strong pull back ,the advantage of monthly chart is to guide you with the long term direction of price action and to see break of structure from deeper perspective ,trading day-to-day will still hinge on the daily candle with intraday analysis in mind ,such as charts on the 1min-3min-15min candle for daily pips for your breakfast.
AUDUSD daily confirmation is a buy .scale to 15min and gauge a buy opportunity.
AUDJPY technical information.
RBA AUD Dollar Outlook
RBA cash rate=3.85%
What is the cash rate?
The cash rate is the interest rate that banks pay to borrow funds from other banks in the money market overnight. It influences all other interest rates, including mortgage and deposit rates.
In technical terms, it is the interest rate on unsecured overnight loans between banks (loans banks use to manage their liquidity). RBA MPC term uses it for operational target in the implementation of monetary policy.
AU10Y=4.867%
inflation 3.8%
head of RBA=Michele Bullock is the current Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
next monetary policy meeting date 17th march 2026
USD technical information
The Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting on January 28, 2026, maintained the federal funds target range at 3.5%–3.75%. Monetary policy outlook emphasizes data-dependent decisions amid solid growth, stabilizing unemployment, and somewhat elevated inflation, with potential for future adjustments if risks to employment or 2% inflation emerge
US10y=4.184%
head of federal reserve=Jerome H. Powell remains Chair, leading the January vote, though President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as successor on January 30, 2026—pending confirmation.
technical direction from interest rate and bond yield context
the bond yield and interest rate favor AUDUSD long position and the carry trader are looking at long position with the current AU10Y @4.86% and higher interest rate of 3.85%.
ON daily we have a buy long confirmation based on break and retest ,pls revert to dollar index for proper action on long hold .
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