The CAPE Ratio Just Hit 40 — A Number That Has Only Appeared Twice in 150 Years
Автор: The Wealth Forecast
Загружено: 2026-02-15
Просмотров: 2711
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The Shiller CAPE ratio has only exceeded 40 twice in 150 years of recorded market history — in 1929, just before a 90% crash, and in 2000, just before the dot-com collapse wiped out 50% of investor wealth. Today, in late 2025, the CAPE ratio sits at 40 again. This is the third time. And every single time before, the outcome was catastrophic.
This isn't speculation. Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller identified the Five-Stage Bubble Formation Sequence — a repeating pattern that has preceded every major market collapse since 1720. It appeared before the South Sea Bubble. Before the Great Crash of 1929. Before the Japanese Nikkei collapsed 82% in 1989. Before the dot-com bust of 2000. And right now, all five stages are complete.
This documentary breaks down:
The CAPE Ratio Just Hit 40 — A Number That Has Only Appeared Twice in 150 Years
The exact 5-stage pattern and how to identify each phase in real time
Historical data from 1720, 1929, 1989, and 2000 showing the pattern in full
Why the Bank of England and ECB are issuing formal valuation warnings in 2025
How AI-related debt exploded from $166B to $625B in under two years — Stage 3 confirmed
Why a CAPE reversion from 40 to its historical average of 17 implies a 55–60% market decline
The Oracle–Blue Owl deal distress signal that may be loading Stage 5's trigger right now
📊 The data is public. The CAPE is 40. The S&P 500's forward P/E hasn't been this extreme since March 2000 — the exact peak of the dot-com bubble. The top 10 stocks now represent 75% of total market cap, a concentration level exceeding even the Great Depression.
The people who lost everything in 1929 and 2000 weren't stupid. They were unprepared. They didn't know what to look for. By 2027–2029, the window to understand this pattern may have already closed. Your retirement account, your savings, your financial future — they are all exposed to a system where leverage, concentration, and overvaluation have converged simultaneously for the first time in history.
📊 For more financial history warnings and economic pattern analysis, subscribe and turn on notifications.
#EconomicCollapse #MarketCrash2026 #CAPERatio #FinancialHistory #StockMarketWarning
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
This content is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only
Nothing in this video or description constitutes financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset, security, currency, or investment vehicle. All financial and investment decisions involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. You are solely responsible for your financial decisions. Always conduct your own independent research and consult with a licensed financial advisor, investment professional, or legal expert before making any financial or investment decisions. Historical patterns, macroeconomic analysis, and geopolitical discussion do not guarantee future outcomes
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