PSU Stock Analysis: Risk vs. Return in ONGC, IOC, and PTC India (Decoding the Market)

Описание: In today’s video, we dive deep into a statistical performance review of three major Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) stocks: ONGC, IOC, and PTC India, specifically looking at data from 30 January 2026. Using advanced statistical tools like descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, and volatility measures, we break down which of these stocks offers the best balance for your portfolio.
Key Insights from the Analysis:
• Performance Leaders: Based on return analysis, ONGC and IOC demonstrate significantly higher average returns compared to PTC India. ONGC, in particular, records the highest returns, largely driven by global energy demand and fluctuations in crude oil prices.
• The Risk Factor: Higher returns come with higher volatility. ONGC is identified as the riskiest stock in this group, followed closely by IOC. This volatility is linked to geopolitical factors and international oil market dynamics.
• Stability with PTC India: For risk-averse investors, PTC India exhibits a much more stable price behaviour and lower risk, thanks to its regulated power trading business model.
• Correlation & Diversification: Our analysis reveals a strong positive relationship between ONGC and IOC, as they both respond similarly to energy sector conditions. Interestingly, PTC shows a weak correlation with the oil stocks, meaning it can provide excellent diversification benefits to your portfolio.
Technical Breakdown: We utilized various statistical measures to reach these conclusions, including:
• Descriptive Statistics: For PTC, the data shows a mean price of approximately 172.83 and a median of 172.88.
• Volatility Measures: Standard deviation and the coefficient of variation were used to determine that ONGC and IOC are "Volatile/Cyclical," while PTC remains "Stable/Sideways".
• ANOVA Testing: A Single Factor ANOVA was conducted to compare the variance between the different stock groups, showing a high F-value, which indicates significant differences in their performance characteristics.
Final Verdict: The findings suggest that while ONGC and IOC are ideal for those seeking higher returns and willing to accept higher risk, PTC India is more appropriate for those seeking stability. A diversified investment approach combining both oil and power sector stocks can help you achieve an optimal balance between risk and return.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is based on provided data sources and statistical studies. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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