92%: Bearish Strategy's MSCI seat, out by 30 November

Описание: MSCI's new rule removes a member only after two failed annual filings. Both of Strategy's are already in, each over 92% bitcoin, and the removal list lands on 11 November.

4:37 on the numbers behind it. The Daily Digits makes five or six falsifiable market calls every morning, each with a base rate, a horizon and a line that would kill it. We publish the misses too.

In this episode

Strategy's two-period buffer is already spent. Strategy is removed from MSCI's indexes.
Bears this crowded near a record have always been early. Bullish the S&P 500.
VIX jumped on a modest drop, and that jump has usually given back. Bearish VIX.
Micron's 16% week has usually been a better entry than an exit. Bullish MU.

Also in this morning's edition, not in the episode

Small caps cracking has not dragged the index down. Bullish the S&P 500, at the ordinary ordinary-day rate.

On the ledger this morning

Thursday: VIX lower into the inflation report, missed.
Thursday: the 10-year yield holding its range, missed.
Thursday: bitcoin volatility staying low, hit.

The full workings, every base rate and all the charts are in this morning's edition: https://thedailydigits.com/p/daily-20...

Every call carries a horizon and a line that would kill it, and every one gets marked when it resolves, hit or miss.

Five or six numbers every morning, free: https://thedailydigits.com

Written by William Purdy. Read by an AI narrator; every word, every call and every miss is his.

Nothing here is investment advice.

Listen: Apple https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast... · Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/1QzzBlc...