$ALGO 2026 Outlook 🚀

Описание: ALGO using fair-value #regression, risk bands, and scenario analysis — made simple and visual.
#algorand #analysis
we analyze #Algorand (ALGO) as it hovers around the critical 12-cent support level! 📉🚨 We determine if ALGO is setting up for a counter-trend rally to 20 cents or if a final flush to the 7-cent recession bottom is inevitable.

📊 Current Status: ALGO is trading at $0.12, bouncing off the range lows established in 2023. Immediate support lies between 10c - 12c.

🛡️ Resistance Levels:

Short Term: The 20-Week SMA sits at 16c - 17c and the 50-Week SMA at 20c.

Macro: The 200-Week SMA (22c) and 300-Week SMA (45c) act as major overhead resistance.

💰 TWAP Resistance: The Time Weighted Average Price is $0.45. ALGO has failed to hold above this level since 2022, making it a key macro ceiling.

⚖️ Fair Value: The Regression model suggests ALGO is trading near fair value, but the 1-Standard Deviation ceiling (Yellow Line) at 22c aligns perfectly with the 200-Week SMA.

🐻 Bear Market Bottoms:

Base Case: $0.10 (16.5% drop).

Panic Case: $0.09 (25% drop).

Recession Case: $0.07 (40% drop).

🚀 Next Cycle Targets (2028/29):

Base Peak: $0.92 - $0.94 (7.5x).

Moon Peak: $1.53 (12x).

Disclaimer: This content is Not Financial Advice (NFA). All charts and proprietary models are available for free at cryptoweeklies.com.

Times:
00:00 Intro and Current Price ($0.12)
00:52 20-Week SMA Target
01:50 50-Week SMA Resistance ($0.20)
02:18 200-Week & 300-Week SMA Analysis
04:25 Machine Learning Bear Forecast
05:25 Regression Fair Value & 1SD Ceiling
06:35 TWAP Macro Resistance ($0.45)
07:50 Bear Market Bottoms (Base vs. Recession)
08:42 Next Cycle Bull Targets (8x - 12x)

Disclaimer: The information in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The predictions provided are based on AI and machine learning algorithms, which may not always be accurate. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial outcomes resulting from the use of this information.

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