कौन जीत रहा है Mumbai? राज और उद्धव आए साथ, ‘रसमलाई’ से लेकर ‘लात’ मारने की बात

Описание: कौन जीत रहा है Mumbai? राज और उद्धव आए साथ, ‘रसमलाई’ से लेकर ‘लात’ मारने की बात

The video discusses the highly anticipated BrihanMumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) elections, which are taking place after a significant delay. The hosts, Saurabh Shukla and Dr. Kartikeya Batra, delve into the political dynamics, the importance of the elections for various parties, and the potential outcomes based on various surveys.

Key Segments:

Significance of the BMC Elections (1:09-3:36): The BMC elections are considered crucial for Maharashtra's politics, often referred to as a "semifinal." The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation is highlighted as the richest municipal corporation in India, with an annual budget of ₹74,000 crore, significantly larger than even some state budgets. This makes controlling the BMC a major financial and political prize.

Delayed Elections and Ward Delimitation (1:29-4:39): The elections, originally scheduled for 2022, are happening in 2026 after a nine-year gap since the last BMC election in 2017. The delay was due to issues like delimitation, OBC reservation, and electoral roll revision. The total number of wards in Mumbai is 227.

Political Alliances and Disintegration (0:21-0:47, 4:42-6:30): The current political landscape sees new alliances. The Maha Vikas Aghadi now includes Uddhav Thackeray and Raj Thackeray (Maharashtra Navnirman Sena - MNS), along with NCP (Sharad Pawar faction). On the other side, the Mahayuti alliance comprises BJP and Eknath Shinde's faction. A significant development is the Congress party's departure from the Maha Vikas Aghadi for this election, forming an alliance with Prakash Ambedkar's VBA.

Historical Context and Political Shifts (8:17-9:16): The 2017 BMC elections saw the undivided Shiv Sena winning 84 wards, BJP 82, Congress 31, and NCP 9. Since then, the political landscape has dramatically changed, with splits in both Shiv Sena and NCP, and shifts in power at the state level, making the current election highly unpredictable.
Survey Findings and Voter Polarization (9:28-12:50): Surveys suggest a complex voter polarization:
Marathi votes (around 40% of the electorate) are consolidating towards Maha Vikas Aghadi due to the unity of Uddhav and Raj Thackeray.
Non-Marathi votes (Gujarati, Marwari, Rajasthani, North Indian) are polarizing towards Mahayuti due to the anti-non-Marathi rhetoric of Uddhav/Raj Thackeray.
The Muslim vote is likely to be split, with Congress potentially cutting into votes that would otherwise go to Maha Vikas Aghadi.
Among women voters who have decided, a majority currently favors Mahayuti.
There's also a difference in voting patterns between slum dwellers (leaning towards MVA/Congress) and building residents (leaning towards Mahayuti).

Internal Conflicts within Alliances (14:35-16:25): There are reports of infighting within the Mahayuti alliance, particularly between Eknath Shinde and Devendra Fadnavis. However, the high stakes of the BMC election might compel them to set aside differences for now.
Campaign Strategies and Identity Politics (16:26-20:22): Parties are heavily relying on identity politics. Uddhav Thackeray and Raj Thackeray are focusing on "Marathi Manoos" identity, raising issues like protecting Mumbai's Marathi identity and concerns about the city being handed over to Gujarati interests or Adani. The Mahayuti, led by BJP and Eknath Shinde (who is also Maratha), aims to capture non-Marathi votes under a broader Hindutva umbrella.

Impact on State and National Politics (21:09-23:57): A win for Maha Vikas Aghadi would significantly boost their financial standing and morale. However, it could also create a dilemma for Congress in future alliances due to the anti-non-Marathi rhetoric. The election's outcome will also be closely watched nationally as the opposition seeks a ray of hope.


#bmc2026 #maharashtra #civicpolls #votingday #electionupdates #breakingnews

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