The Decision Point for Bitcoin Is Here.

Описание: More chart analysis and insights on our Telegram https://trading.capital.com/4qqfjCz

Bitcoin’s past bull markets have delivered extraordinary returns, but they have also been followed by deep and painful drawdowns. In this video, we break down how Bitcoin performed after the 2016 and 2020 halvings, why both rallies ended with declines of more than 75%, and what the current cycle could mean for Bitcoin’s price outlook heading into 2026. Using the four-year Bitcoin cycle theory, we explore whether the market is approaching a typical late-cycle phase or if this time could be different. The analysis combines historical halving data, on-chain indicators, and key macroeconomic signals such as the ISM Manufacturing PMI and recession probability models from the Federal Reserve. We also examine the growing role of institutional investors, including Bitcoin ETFs, and how their demand may be reshaping this cycle compared to earlier, retail-driven bull markets. Finally, we discuss how business cycle dynamics, industrial metals, and recession risks could influence Bitcoin’s next major move.

This video is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and involve significant risk. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

Stay up to date with Capital.com for ongoing insights into Bitcoin, macro trends, and digital asset markets.

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