PSX 2026 MASTERCLASS: KSE-100 to 208,000? KEL, BML, PIBTL, PACE, TPLP & TREET Analysis

Описание: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) has officially entered a historic bull-run. With the KSE-100 Index shattering the 174,000 milestone in December 2025, the question isn’t just about where the market is—it’s about where it’s going. Top-tier brokerage houses like Arif Habib and Topline are already projecting a December 2026 target of 203,000 to 208,000 points.

Are you positioned in the right sectors, or are you chasing the hype? In this advanced deep-dive, we move beyond the noise to provide a data-backed blueprint for 2026. We break down the Technical & Fundamental outlook for 6 high-conviction stocks: KEL, BML, PIBTL, PACE, TPLP, and TREET.

📈 MARKET OVERVIEW: THE 2026 BULL CASE
The macro indicators for Pakistan are shifting. Inflation has moderated to the 6.5-7.5% range, and the PKR remains stable against the USD. This has triggered a massive rotation from fixed-income (T-Bills/PIBs) into equities. Our analysis suggests that the current 21.6% projected upside in the KSE-100 is conservative if the privatization of PIA and the power sector reforms stay on track.

🔍 INDIVIDUAL STOCK BREAKDOWNS
1. K-Electric (KEL): The Utility Giant

Fundamental News: NEPRA’s revision of the MYT (Multi-Year Tariff) framework for FY24-FY30 is the biggest trigger. Watch for adjustments in US-linked ROE.

Upcoming Trigger: The March 31, 2026, AGM deadline is a major transparency event that the market has been waiting for.

Technical: Showing a Symmetrical Triangle breakout on the weekly chart with strong support at 5.60.

2. Bank Makramah (BML): The Turnaround Story

Case Study: BML (formerly Summit Bank) represents a classic "capital injection" play. With net income turning positive in late 2025, we analyze if this is the next high-growth Islamic bank.

Technical: Trading in a bullish channel. Watch the Fib level at 5.90 for a potential entry.

3. Pakistan International Bulk Terminal (PIBTL):

The Technical Edge: Alpha-Akseer research recently identified a "Saucer" pattern. Volume has surged to 22M+ shares daily, signaling institutional accumulation.

Outlook: As export/import dynamics improve, PIBTL is the primary beneficiary of bulk cargo handling.

4. Pace Pakistan (PACE): The Penny Stock Play

Analysis: High beta (1.22) makes it a favorite for traders. While fundamentals remain under pressure, the technicals show a "Bullish Continuation" pattern if it holds the 18.00 support level.

5. TPL Properties (TPLP):

Business Model: TPLP is pioneering the REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) model in PSX. Recent profitability in 2025 suggests the recurring income stream is finally stabilizing.

Upcoming: Monitoring the TPL REIT Fund I developments for 2026.

6. Treet Corporation (TREET): The Diversification King

Big News: An Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) is set for January 13, 2026, to discuss a PKR 187M investment.

Strategy: We look at Treet Battery Ltd’s performance and how it impacts the parent company’s valuation.

💡 WHY THIS CHANNEL?
We don't just give "calls." We give knowledge. This video uses Advanced Technical Analysis (EMAs, Fibonacci, RSI) and Fundamental Ratios (P/E, P/B, EPS Growth) to help you make informed decisions. Whether you are a beginner or a pro, our goal is to foster the confidence you need to navigate the PSX.

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Disclaimer: Investment in the stock market involves risk. This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a certified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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