Is the China Growth Miracle Over?
Автор: China–US Crosscurrents
Загружено: 2026-02-01
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Headline: Is the China Growth Miracle Over? Decoding the "Peak China" Debate
Is the era of China’s rapid economic expansion coming to a definitive end? From a collapsing property market to a shrinking workforce, the world's second-largest economy is facing a series of "structural traps" that could redefine the global order.
In this video, we dive deep into the comprehensive analysis of the "Peak China" debate. We explore the five critical factors that are dragging down China’s growth momentum: the demographic crisis, the real estate bubble, the massive debt trap, internal market distrust, and the intensifying "de-risking" efforts by the West.
What we cover in this deep dive:
👉 The Demographic Burden: Why China is "growing old before getting rich" (未富先老) and how its labor force peak in 2015 is now a drag on GDP.
👉 The Real Estate Trap: With a 90% homeownership rate and ghost cities, has China’s main economic pillar finally reached its limit?
👉 The Debt Bomb: Understanding the 280% debt-to-GDP ratio and the opaque world of Local Government Financing Vehicles (LGFVs).
👉 The Birdcage Trap: How the "pivot to state" and the crackdown on private giants like Alibaba are stifling innovation and creating a "liquidity trap."
👉 The Major-Power Check Trap: Why the loss of trust with the West and the "China+1" strategy are reshaping global supply chains.
Can Beijing’s "New Three" (EVs, batteries, and solar) save the economy, or are the structural headwinds too strong to overcome?
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