USA Outlook Darkens

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The United States is facing intensifying fiscal pressure.

The Congressional Budget Office now projects deficits close to $2 trillion a year, debt climbing toward historic highs, and federal interest costs set to double over the next decade.

For much of the past decade, ultra-low interest rates masked the scale of America’s borrowing. Economic growth comfortably exceeded the cost of debt, helping to stabilise the trajectory.

That environment is shifting.

Treasury yields are now running close to — and in some years matching — nominal GDP growth. As borrowing costs rise and interest payments consume a larger share of national income, the fiscal outlook tightens significantly.

By the mid-2030s, interest alone is projected to absorb an unprecedented share of federal revenue, reducing flexibility and increasing vulnerability to future shocks.

The world’s largest economy retains enormous structural advantages. But the fiscal margin that once provided breathing space is narrowing — and the long-term path is becoming harder to stabilise.

Let me know your thoughts in the comments.

For specific details please check out the CHAPTER list below.

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Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:53 REVENUE
1:59 EXPENDITURE
3:14 DIFFERNTIAL
6:32 DEFICIT
8:31 DEBT
10:47 POPULATION
12:32 r-g
15:39 LAST 10 YEARS
20:03 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION

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#HouseholdDebt
#InterestRates
#macroeconomics
#treasurybonds
#BondMarket
#usbonds