Would You Pick the Mystery Box or Take the Cash? (Newcomb’s Paradox)
Автор: The Argument Within
Загружено: 2025-07-21
Просмотров: 42
Описание:
Imagine you're standing in front of two boxes.
Box A is clear — it has $1,000 inside.
Box B is sealed — you don’t know what’s in it.
Here’s the setup:
A super-intelligent AI has already predicted what you’ll do.
If it predicted you’ll take only the sealed box,
it placed $1 million inside.
If it predicted you’d take both,
it left the sealed box empty.
The money is already in the boxes — or it isn’t.
You can’t change that.
So what do you do?
Take both boxes — and you’re guaranteed $1,000.
But if the AI is almost always right…
that choice probably means the sealed box is empty.
Take just the sealed box —
and you might get $1 million.
Or you might get nothing.
The paradox is this:
The outcome depends on a prediction
that was made before you chose —
but based entirely on the choice you’re about to make.
So…
are you making a free choice?
Or just playing out what was already expected?
#NewcombParadox #DecisionTheory #ThinkFast #Paradox
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