When Will Iran Get Nuclear Weapons?

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Predictions or when Iran will acquire nuclear weapons have been embarrassingly inaccurate. Why is that the case? And what does that say about the likelihood of success for the current round of negotiations between Iran and world powers?

0:00 Predicting When Iran Will Get Nuclear Weapons
1:33 How Iran Is Building Nuclear Weapons
3:24 Iran's Fast Fuel Timeline
4:34 How Iran Would Design a Bomb
7:25 Proliferation Is a Political Decision
8:14 How Expensive Are Nuclear Weapons?
9:29 Risks of Preventive Actions
10:55 Negotiating an Iran Deal 2.0
12:58 The Problem of Nuclear Prediction

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