Inflation Alert: Do the Government's Numbers Add Up?

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Is Jerome Powell making the right call on interest rates—or is Donald Trump correct that the Fed should be cutting? In this episode of Altimetry Authority, we break down the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate, inflation data, and employment trends to see where policy should really be heading.

We examine the flaws in official BLS inflation and unemployment numbers, explore alternative data sources like TrueFlation, and uncover why the consumer may be under more pressure than the Fed admits. From credit card and student loan delinquencies to the real story behind tariffs, AI-driven growth, and GDP distortions, we reveal why the economy isn’t as strong as headline numbers suggest.

Most importantly, we ask: Should Powell stop fearing inflation and start cutting rates before it’s too late? And is Trump surprisingly right on this issue?

0:00 – Intro: The White House vs. The Fed
0:39 – Trump vs. Powell on interest rates
1:00 – The Fed’s dual mandate explained
1:18 – Inflation data and CPI problems
1:43 – Why BLS numbers are flawed
2:06 – Alternative inflation measures (TrueFlation & more)
2:16 – Energy prices, tariffs, and inflation impact
3:08 – Tariff whipsawing and inflation volatility
3:53 – Unemployment data under pressure
4:17 – Payrolls, wages, and AI’s effect on jobs
4:51 – Consumer stress: loans, credit cards, and autos
5:33 – Retail spending decline and consumer cutbacks
6:35 – Stock market vs. the real economy
7:16 – GDP distortions and the tariff effect
8:02 – Why Powell should cut rates now
8:05 – Powell’s fear of inflation (voice analysis insight)
8:47 – Stock market concentration vs. Main Street reality
9:01 – Why Trump may be right on interest rates
9:38 – Closing thoughts & next episode

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