Emergency Update on Iran with Norman Roule

Описание: With two U.S. carrier strike groups converging on Iran and a presidential deadline looming, the clock is ticking. In this urgent episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher — Senior Director for Intelligence at the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP) — sits down with Norman Roule, former National Intelligence Manager for Iran at ODNI, to assess what may be one of the most consequential moments in U.S.-Iran relations in decades.

They cover the prospect of diplomacy amidst the ongoing Geneva talks, the evolution of the Iranian regime’s domestic standing, and the broader state of regional stability in the Middle East.

A veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency with over three decades of service, Norman Roule spearheaded senior operations across the Middle East before serving nearly ten years as the National Intelligence Manager for Iran at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI).

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00:00 – Introduction: Emergency Podcast on the Iran Situation
00:40 – Guest Introduction: Norm Roule’s CIA and Intelligence Background
01:25 – Announcement: AI Plus Intelligence Summit at the Waldorf Astoria
02:03 – Current Military Posture: Carrier Strike Groups and Aircraft Deployment
02:28 – The Diplomatic Inflection Point and March Deadlines
03:38 – Core Issues: Iran’s Nuclear Program and Enrichment Deals
05:31 – U.S. Demands: Missiles and the "Axis of Resistance"
07:56 – Iran’s Missile Arsenal and ICBM Capabilities
08:33 – Upcoming Geneva Talks and Potential for Miscalculation
10:51 – Evaluating Potential U.S. Military Strikes and Iranian Retaliation
14:06 – Degradation of Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iranian Ballistic Assets
16:03 – Diplomacy vs. Military Action: What Compels Tehran to Negotiate?
18:44 – Regime Stability: Domestic Protests and Internal Pressures
20:54 – Outlook: How the Next Two Weeks Will Play Out
25:22 – Regional Dynamics: Shifting U.S. Commitments and Middle East Change
30:25 – Closing Remarks and Future Updates