Have the ECB doves gone ahead of themselves? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Автор: Swissquote (in English)
Загружено: 2023-09-05
Просмотров: 416
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European markets were silent on Monday, as the EURUSD remained offered below its 200-DMA today, although the softening Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations make more sense than softening ECB expectations, provided that the ECB is NOT in a comfortable place to call a pause at this month’s meeting amid the uptick in latest inflation figures.
In equities, the European stocks have less potential than their US peers, but the FTSE 100 could surf on the rising energy prices in H2.
On the flip side of the world, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its cash rate unchanged at 4.1% at today’s monetary policy meeting. The EURAUD rebounded from a month-dip as investors saw opportunity to trade the soft RBA stance versus a possibly unfunded softness in ECB expectations.
Elsewhere in the Pacific, Japan is testing the market demand for its 10 and 30-year bonds this week, as the finance ministry sells 2.7 trillion-yen worth of 10-year bonds today and 900-billion-yen worth of 30-year bonds on Thursday. Of course, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is out and buying a massive amount of bonds to make sure that the YCC not too relaxed, and traders are looking for signs of still sluggish demand from local investors that could force the BoJ to act earlier than … never.
Watch the full episode to find out more!
0:00 Intro
0:37 European equities have sluggish outlook, FTSE to outperform
5:13 Are euro traders price unnecessary dovishness?
6:45 RBA maintains cash rate unchanged
7:28 Japan tests long-maturity JGB demand
Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020.
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