538 Launches Election Prediction Model for 2020 || Nate Silver Election Forecast
Автор: Fourth Radical
Загружено: 2020-08-16
Просмотров: 113
Описание:
Nate Silver's 538 has launched his official election forecast prediction model for the 2020 general election match up between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Many people are pointing out that it is nearly identical to the forecast for the 2016 election between Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump the day before the election. One key difference however is that this model is a few month out compared to the model the day before the election in 2016. There are mathematical models to factor in uncertainty which gives the president an advantage as it stands today. Were you to tell the model that the election was tomorrow, the numbers are closer to 90% in favor of Biden. But the fact is that the election is not tomorrow, which is why the election is not yet decided for either candidate.
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