Active Investing in a Flows Based Market | Cem Karsan

Описание: In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Cem Karsan of Kai Volatility Advisors for an in-depth discussion on the current state of markets and the global economy.

We explore:

How geopolitical events in the Middle East and Ukraine are impacting markets and risk
Cem's views on inflation, recent Fed actions, and market flows
The impact of options positioning and market structure on volatility
Cem's outlook for the remainder of 2023 and into 2024
Historical patterns around elections and how they may apply today
Thoughts on the rise of passive investing and potential shifts ahead
Perspectives on AI as both a productivity driver and investment theme

Cem shares his unique insights on how the current market backdrop compares to other periods of elevated populism and inflation, and what that could mean for returns and investor behavior going forward.

0:00 Introduction
2:00 Geopolitical events and market impact
8:12 Inflation, Fed actions, and market flows
14:00 Options positioning and market structure
23:45 Market outlook for late 2023 and 2024
30:18 Historical patterns around elections
43:22 Rise of passive investing and potential shifts
51:12 AI as a productivity driver and investment theme
59:00 Cem's unique belief about investing
1:04:31 Closing thoughts

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