Burnley vs Tottenham | Tip & Prediction | (Matchday 23)

Описание: Burnley come into this game after earning a 1-1 draw away at Anfield. Florian Wirtz put Liverpool ahead before halftime, but Marcus Edwards struck on 65 minutes to rescue a valuable point for the Clarets. While the result looks impressive on paper, the underlying numbers tell a different story — Liverpool created enough chances to score three or more goals and even missed a penalty. Burnley rode their luck, but it’s still a strong point for a side battling relegation. That draw does, however, extend Burnley’s winless run to 13 league games, and home form remains a major concern. They are winless in their last seven at Turf Moor, losing five of those matches, and Scott Parker’s side continue to look like serious relegation candidates.

Tottenham arrive after another disappointing home defeat, this time losing 2-1 to West Ham. Somerville opened the scoring before Cristian Romero equalised just after the hour mark. Spurs then conceded late on as Callum Wilson came off the bench to snatch all three points for the Hammers. The numbers back up West Ham’s win, with Spurs once again struggling defensively and allowing 2.69 xG from 21 shots. That result leaves Tottenham winless in their last four Premier League matches, although away from home they’ve been far more reliable, picking up one win, one draw, and one defeat in their last three road games.

The head-to-head record strongly favours Spurs. The reverse fixture on the opening day of the season ended in a 3-0 Tottenham win, with goals from Brennan Johnson and a Richarlison brace. Spurs dominated that match statistically and have now won four consecutive meetings against Burnley, with Burnley’s last victory coming back in February 2022.

In this video, we cover:
⚽ Burnley vs Tottenham tactical preview
📊 Home vs away form, xG data & head-to-head trends
💰 Betting insight — weighing form against matchup advantages

Prediction: Burnley have struggled badly this season, but Tottenham haven’t been much better in recent weeks. However, Spurs’ excellent away form and strong head-to-head record tilt this matchup in their favour. Tottenham rank second in the league for away form, while Burnley sit 18th at home, making this a favourable spot for the visitors.

➡️ Bet: Tottenham to win — half stake (Bet #1).

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