Trump's Withdrawal Is Pushing Allies Toward Nuclear Weapons. Will They Cross the Threshold?

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An increasing number of U.S. allies are floating the idea of developing their own nuclear weapons arsenal. Are we about to see a new wave of nuclear proliferation? Today, we examine the role of U.S. security guarantees in suppressing the number of nuclear weapons states in the world. Afterward, we consider the various other disincentives to developing nuclear weapons that will continue past a U.S. withdrawal in international relations.

0:00 Trump and a Third Wave of Nuclear Proliferation
1:19 The Scope of the Problem
2:33 The History of Nuclear Proliferation
6:03 U.S. Security Guarantees and Nonproliferation
8:52 The Cost of Nuclear Weapons
15:05 Risks of Preventive War
16:04 The Utility of Nuclear Weapons
17:13 Division of Labor in Alliances
18:56 Will There Be a Third Wave?

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